Monday, September 21, 2009

Top 25, Heisman favorites, and links: Week 3

Another week, another top five team goes down.

USC had their annual letdown against Washington this week, a team that won all of ZERO games in 2008. The Huskies are now 2-1 and are tied for the lead in the Pac-10 with perennial power....Stanford?

Nonetheless, the reasoning for me placing USC at No. 10 in the pre-season was shown this weekend for the entire nation to see: Replacing your starting QB, for the first time in a long time there is no go-to receiver for the Trojans, they are replacing all but three starters on defense, and their lost both their coordinators.

Sure, you can pass off USC as a "reloading" team, but some deficits are just too deep.

ITNOT Top 25-Week 3
  1. Florida
  2. Texas
  3. Alabama
  4. Penn State
  5. Cal
  6. LSU
  7. Boise State
  8. Oklahoma
  9. Mississippi
  10. USC
  11. Ohio State
  12. Miami
  13. TCU
  14. Cincinnati
  15. Oklahoma State
  16. North Carolina
  17. BYU
  18. Houston
  19. Georgia
  20. Michigan
  21. Missouri
  22. Kansas
  23. Nebraska
  24. Washington
  25. Florida State

Heisman Favorites

  • Tim Tebow, QB, Florida
  • Colt McCoy, QB, Texas
  • Jahvid Best, RB, Cal
  • Jacory Harris, QB, Miami
  • Daryl Clark, QB, Penn State

Links

Saturday, September 19, 2009

Picks, Previews, and Prognostications-Week 2

So, a busy week mixed with a horribly boring previous week in college football led to me not updating Wednesday and Thursday, but I shall continue the the picks, because I can't live with my last week.



I went 8-8 last week to move to 24-14 on the year, but went 2-5 in CW picks, moving me to 6-8 on the year, and dead last in that category.



So what went wrong? Well, I lost four of those games by a combined 11 points, and then the Standford let down by 7 points as well. Ironically, the two games I picked correctly were Alabama.....and Auburn.



So, now on to this week, where there is more conference action on the docket, so here what (hopefully) will happen this week.

34 @Iowa, 21 Arizona

27 @Clemson, 24 Boston College

40 Utah, 30 @Oregon


45 Cincinnati, 42 @Oregon State

30 @North Carolina, 23 East Carolina

45 Cal, 27 @Minnesota

*20 @Virginia Tech, 17 Nebraska

45 @Texas, 38 Texas Tech

*31 @Arkansas, 27 Georgia

*48 @Auburn, 45 West Virginia

*24 Mississippi State, 14 @Vanderbilt

*35 @BYU, 17 Florida State

*31 @Florida, 7 Tennessee

* 35 @Alabama, 3 North Texas

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Pass or Fail-Week 2

After week two of college football, there really was not much going on worth noting.

If this week's Pass or Fail seems shorter than normal, that's because it actually is.

Head of the Class: Auburn can run the ball, again. The Tigers finally look like a team that might have a chance to go to a bowl. The Tigers are second in the country in offense thanks in large part to their ground game that went nuts on Mississippi State last Saturday. The Tigers are averaging 345 yards on the ground between Ben Tate and Onterio McCalebb, who are both averaging 6.9 yards per carry so far this season. Gus Malzhan has been doing well in his first two games, but Auburn doesn't face a defensive-minded team until they make their way to Knoxville October 3rd.

Pass: Huge Underdogs take the lead. Both Wyoming and Florida International were not expected to give their week two opponents a scare. Both teams were leading their top five opponent in games they would go on to lose by a combined score of 81-24. The Cowboys led Texas 10-6 in the second quarter, and were only down 13-10 at half, but Texas had an onslaught of 35 unanswered points. FIU led Alabama after a second-quarter TD to make it 14-13. The Crimson Tide responded with 27 unanswered points of their own en route to their second victory of the season. The small leads by both of these teams can only lead confidence for both squads as the season continues.

Fail: Week Two Scheduling down right sucks. You wonder why this blog is a day late and a dollar short? There was no game worth watching except USC-Ohio State, and even that game seemed ho-hum despite the way it ended. Many teams were playing pansy teams and what conference match-ups there were, they didn't garner any real attention. In a word: yawn.

Pass: Notre Dame/Michigan was mildly entertaining. Michigan looks to actually be able to challenge for eight wins and possibly second place in the Big Ten after the win over the Irish and a mild conference in their way. Tate Forcier is going to be a household name by the end of the season and could reach Tim Tebow status if the Wolverines can come away with a stellar season in 2009.

Fail: Colorado looks extremely rocky. The Buffs lost to in-state rival Colorado State last week, and then laid a huge egg in the middle of Ohio as Toledo ran, passed, and all out plowed right over Dan Hawkins' team. It seems more likely that Dan Hawkins will not survive the season and will have to leave his son to suffer on Boulder for the next two years.

Pass: College Football is so hot right now. As if the news on last Monday that FSU-Miami was the 2nd highest rated game to be seen on ESPN, it was found out that OSU/USC was the highest rated game, including bowls, in ESPN history. If this continues for the duration of the season, it wouldn't be surprising to see 2009 match-ups taking the top five spots of all-time on ESPN.

Fail: Oklahoma State was not ready for Prime Time. Give credit to Houston here, but the Cowboys had a huge let down against the Cougars on Saturday. Houston seemed to have control during most of the game, and T. Boone Pickens cannot be to pleased to be 1-1 in his brand new money pit. The Big XII isn't too pleased either with their teams from the Panhandle State as both of those teams have lost while being in the top five this year.

Epic Fail: Will there be such thing as a conference race this year? When you look at the BCS conferences this season, only the ACC seems to have a legitimate race. Sure, the Big XII North might have something, but lets face it: Florida will play Alabama in Atlanta, Texas will win the Big XII, Penn State will run through the Big Ten, USC will once again play for the Roses, and Cincinnati is going to hurt some teams in the Big East. No other team in any of those teams conferences/divisions have not shown any promise, and the old adage is the biggest improvements come between weeks one and two. The most intriguing conference may in fact be the Mountain West, with BYU and TCU looking like they could both crash the BCS, and the question of if Utah can recover. Other than that, once again: yawn.

Monday, September 14, 2009

Top 25, Heisman favorites, and links: Week 2

Two weeks in, and things are seemingly starting to take shape.

Two top five teams have already gone down this season, both from the Big XII, and parity might be starting to take shape in college football.

This week, eyes will be on BYU once again as they host Florida State just to see if this Cougar team is legit.

ITNOT Top 25-Week 2
  1. Florida
  2. Texas
  3. Penn St.
  4. Alabama
  5. USC
  6. BYU
  7. Cal
  8. Oklahoma
  9. Ohio State
  10. LSU
  11. Boise St.
  12. Mississippi
  13. Oklahoma St.
  14. TCU
  15. Virginia Tech
  16. Georgia Tech
  17. Cincinnati
  18. Miami
  19. North Carolina
  20. Pittsburgh
  21. Houston
  22. Nebraska
  23. Kansas
  24. Michigan
  25. Georgia

Heisman Trophy Favorites-Week 2

Tim Tebow, Florida, QB

Colt McCoy, Texas, QB

Jahvid Best, Cal, RB

Daryl Clark, Penn St., QB

Friday, September 11, 2009

Picks, Previews and Pronostications: Week 2

With week two already underway thanks to Georgia Tech's victory over Clemson last night, it is time to turn the attention to Saturday.

After one week, I am 18-6 on games that I picked to pick, but only 4-3 in games picked by the CW staff, which is actually good enough for tied for second right now.

As for the ESPN college football Pick'em group, I am currently third in the group of ten that actually filled out their sheets this week. Don't forget, it is never too late to join the group, and for those of you in the group, be sure to make out your picks.

This week, there are only 16 games worth picking as conference play begins and only two games capture a national interest.

BYU @ Tulane

I watched Tulane on television last Friday night, and Tulsa was mopping the floor of the Superdome in front of the 100 or so fans that decided their life didn't suck enough. BYU, of course, is coming off the victory over Oklahoma. The Cougars have not had a win this big in quite some time, there will be a bit of a let down, but the Green Wave are just awful, so any letdown short of eight turnovers is enough for a BYU victory. BYU 31, Tulane 6

TCU @ Virginia

The Horned Frogs travel up to Charlottesville where Al Groh still has a job after losing to William and Mary last week. Groh has long been on the hot seat since he started leading the Cavaliers, and TCU has long had a stout defense. They were the only one of two teams last season to hold Oklahoma under 45 points in a single game. The Frogs are beginning their season this week and visit Clemson in two weeks. After this week, though, TCU will be 1-0 against the ACC this season. TCU 27, Virginia 7

*Stanford @Wake Forest

You have to credit Wake Forest for starting off their season against two BCS OOC teams, but at some point you would have thought the Demon Deacons would fear going 0-2 in these games. Both Baylor and Stanford have improved since this schedule was made about five to seven years ago, and Wake has already been up and back down in that time as well. Of course, Baylor had Robert Griffin in their corner last week, while Stanford only has Tavita Pritchard flinging the ball around for them. Nonetheless, the Cardinal took care of business in Pullman last week, and nothing would kick off Jim Harbaugh's third season and a drive for a bowl better than heading back to Stanford for the home opener already 2-0. Look for the boys in red to do so after this weekend. Stanford 28, Wake Forest 17

North Carolina @ Connecticut

In a battle between two up and coming programs, the Tar Heels would seem to have the edge in this game in Storrs. UNC has a legitimate chance to win their division in the ACC while UConn is in the midst of a wide open Big East race. In name, this may look like a close game, and the Huskies being at home may keep it that way for three quarters, but North Carolina should have no problem here moving to 2-0. North Carolina 35, Connecticut 21

Syracuse @ Penn State

Two high profile quarterbacks take the field in Happy Valley on Saturday, one being a Heisman candidate, the other being a former point guard. The main storyline in this game is Daryl Clark vs. Greg Paulus, but other than that, this game has no real national appeal. The Paulus watch will be going on all season, and they did well against their first Big Ten opponent, but the Nittany Lions are not Minnesota. Penn State 42, Syracuse 10

Air Force @ Minnesota

Speaking of the Golden Gophers, they open their new outdoor stadium with a game against the Air Force's multi-faceted running game. The Falcons had an easy time against Nicholls State, but Minnesota is still a BCS team despite their lowly stature in the Big Ten. This game should be more difficult for Air Force, but Minnesota will open their new stadium with a loss. Air Force 30, Minnesota 20

Purdue @ Oregon

The Blount-less Ducks take the field for the first time since the post-game flare up in Boise. Purdue looked a lot more impressive than people expected against Toledo, running away with a game that many experts thought would be close till the end. Now, a senior laden Boilermakers squad travels to Eugene and are looking to kick a duck while he's down. This game looks full speed ahead for Purdue. Purdue 24, Oregon 10

Fresno State @ Wisconsin

Since Bret Bielema arrived in Madison, the Badgers have gotten progressively worse. After a 12-1 first season, Wisconsin is just 16-10 in the past two seasons. Fresno State is a perennial mid-major team that is ready to beat anyone. The Bulldogs should be able to overcome the wild crowd at Camp Randall Stadium and come out of there with a victory against a Wisconsin team that struggled against Northern Illinois last week. Fresno State 20, Wisconsin 13

Troy @ Florida

Two years ago when Troy went down to Gainesville, the game was never really in doubt, but the Trojans kept it closer than expected by keeping the game within thirty. This season, Florida is a lot stronger, and this looks to be one of the weaker teams under Larry Blakeney. The Gators will finally get a decent game next week against Tennessee, but until then, it should be more of the same Tim Tebow for 30 minutes, followed by John Brantley for the next thirty. Florida 56, Troy 13

*Mississippi State @ Auburn

The game that started the demise for Tommy Tuberville will look to get a few more runs on the board this year after a 3-2 game last season. Auburn scored all five runs, err, points last year with a field goal and allowing a safety. Both teams are looking to run a more excitable offense this season, so another five point showing should not be in the future. Guz Malzhan wants Auburn to get to the 90 play plateau this season, while Dan Mullen's spread is still taking shape in Starkville. Eyes will be on two freshman as Chad Bumphis of State and Onterio McCalebb for the Tigers look to steal the show for both teams. The game should be close, but Auburn's experience will overtake MSU by the end of the game. Auburn 14, Mississippi State 10

*South Carolina @ Georgia

Two horrific offenses from week one will square off in Athens in what is traditionally a defensive battle. Both Mark Richt and Steve Spurrier need this win, but the Bulldogs can't afford to start the season 0-2 and facing a trip to a much improved Arkansas team next week. Neither offense showed much promise in game one, and South Carolina's defense is still quite nasty. Stephen Garcia is better than Joe Cox with a shoulder injury, and AJ Green can't defeat that gap alone. South Carolina 13, Georgia 9

Vanderbilt @ LSU

The talk all week has been about LSU's horrific defensive showing against Washington last weekend in Seattle. John Chavis is trying to revamp a defense that had to answer to two heads last season and giving up 450+ yards to a team that hasn't won a game in 2o months is not a good start. Sure, Vandy is still Vandy in a sense, but if the 'Dores are allowed to hang around after one quarter, the game will get very interesting, very quickly. Despite LSU's defensive issues, the Tigers still have the best 1-2 punch at receiver with Toliver and LaFell, and that is enough to get them over the top in this game. LSU 27, Vanderbilt 17

*UCLA @ Tennessee

Tennessee is looking for revenge against UCLA after the 27-24 overtime loss last season in Los Angeles which began the Phil Fulmer farewell tour. I called that game to be the beginning of the end for Fulmer, and it turned out to be. This year, Lane Kiffin could get a huge jump start if the Vols can take down the Bruins. Tennessee has the advantage on defense not only with Eric Berry, but also a young UCLA offensive line and redshirt freshman quarterback. The game might be ugly on offense, but Tennessee should dominate this game on the field, even if it doesn't look that way on the scoreboard. Tennessee 28, UCLA 20

*Notre Dame @ Michigan

A game that looked like a nightmare just two weeks ago has now turned into must see TV after both Notre Dame and Michigan disposed of what were perceived to be difficult mid major game by a combined score of 66-7. The Domers posted a shut out and Michigan took control early against Western Michigan. Now, they face off in the Big House on national television and the victor is in prime position to return to national prominence. Tate Forcier started great for the Big Blue last week, but Jimmy Clausen's confidence is a high as any Clausen has been in 15 years. Notre Dame should come out with a win and a top 15 ranking to boot. Notre Dame 23, Michigan 14

*USC @ Ohio State

The game for which all eyes will be feasted on is hosting College Gameday this weekend in Columbus. Pete Carroll and the Trojans dismantled the Big Ten image once again last year in a 35-3 mauling at the Coliseum. This year, Carson Palmer is salivating at the idea of watching the Buckeyes take it on the chin again. However, Ohio State does have Terrelle Pryor on their side and will not be facing a triple-option attack Saturday. Matt Barkley makes his first start on the road and second overall in front of 100,000 screaming fans in scarlet. It is quite the intimidating place to visit, and Ohio State should play ball and clock control and tire out USC's young defense. Ohio State 24, USC 21

*Florida International @ Alabama

Alabama is looking to avoid the second straight second game letdown as they take on Florida International Saturday. FIU is not as daunting of a task as Tulane was last season in this spot on the schedule, but the Crimson Tide can't afford to sleep on the Golden Panthers. T.Y. Hilton is an all-everything man for FIU, and he will be coming at the Alabama defense and special teams from all angles. Besides that, the Crimson Tide may rack up 200 rushing yards again this week against a very green defensive line from FIU. Mark Ingram shouldn't see the second half, and Trent Richardson is going to have his chance to shine Saturday. Alabama 45, Florida International 7

Links to picks

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Who is Florida International, anyway?

For all intended purposes, the Golden Panthers of Florida International are the first cupcake on the schedule. I can safely say that cause I am a firm believer that Nick Saban does not read this blog (or any blog for that matter.)

The Panthers are coming out of the Sun Belt conference and will be kicking off their season this Saturday against the Crimson Tide in Tuscaloosa.

FIU has only been playing football since 2002 and are 21-59 in their seven-year history. The school has never had a winning season, but have won five games on three occasions, including last season's 5-7 effort. An overtime loss to Florida Atlantic in the next to last weekend of the season was the only thing short of keeping the school from a .500 record.

The Panthers have played in Tuscaloosa before back in 2006 when Mike Shula led the Crimson Tide to a 38-3 victory, the only meeting in the series.

As for this year's Panthers squad, they return 16 starters from last season, 10 of which are on offense.

On offense, the Panthers are a predominantly passing team, having their air attack more than double the yards churned out on the ground in 2008. Quarterback Paul McCall only completed 52% of his passes last season, but did throw 15 touchdowns to nine interceptions. His favorite target is T.Y. Hilton, who as a freshman had 1,000 yards receiving and seven touchdowns. He will be the focus of the Alabama defense even though FIU's top five receivers return this season, including all of their touchdown receptions from last year.

On defense, Florida International is quite vulnerable both on the ground and through the air. The Panthers gave up an average of four yards per carry last season and allowed for an average of 60% of pass attempts to be completed. Despite these stats, they still have some players. Linebacker Scott Bryant was the team leader in tackles (89) and tackles for loss (7) from a year ago and he returns for his final season in Miami. Lurking in the secondary is Anthony Gaitor, a first team All-Sun Belt last season. Gaitor led the team in interceptions (5) and pass break-ups (11) last season and will be a focus on locating him on the line before each passing play. The Tide should expect a break on the four-man defensive front as FIU is replacing three defensive linemen this season.

On special teams, Hilton is once again the man for the Panthers. Last season he averaged 23 yards per kickoff return and 15 yards per punt return. He also had a touchdown from each position. For kicks, FIU will rely on Dustin Rivest, who has only hit 19-35 for his career with a long of 43. Rivest will also be taking over the punting duties this season.

For Alabama, the game plan seems pretty simple: run the ball down their throats, play sound defensively, get out without getting hurt. If the Crimson Tide can do this, Saturday will be a successful 60 minutes.

Wednesday, September 9, 2009

Are You ready for Hawai'i 2006, Part Two on Saturday?

As it has been documented since July, and should be well known by now through countless e-mails, the number of gates available to students for Saturday's home opener at Bryant-Denny Stadium has gone from six to one.

The reason, of course, is because of the new expansion in the South end zone of the stadium that is set to open next fall and raise Bryant-Denny's capacity over 100,000 fans.

Yes, it is a good thing that the stadium is expanding. Along with more seats for season ticket holders, there will also be expanded seating for the students as well as a means for encompassing all sound within the walls of Bryant-Denny to make it an even more difficult stadium to play inside.

Here is the problem, though: the student section size has not decreased from last year, but the number of gates has.

There are still going to be 15,000 students trying to get into the game through one gate, and there is no doubt this will cause a problem that has been seen before.

I take you back to my first game as a student: Alabama vs. Hawaii, September 2nd, 2006. The first game with the newly expanded North end zone and the first game in which card readers are to be used at the student gates.

This game alone was the reason as to why gates now open two and a half hours before game time. At this time, there were only two hours for students to enter.

The University had said that test runs were positive and that there should be no problems...except there were.

Readers failed, lines backed up, and before you knew it, at least 2,000 students missed a bulk of the first quarter and many more missed kick off. Lines were back to the graveyard on Bryant Drive at every gate and were moving at half the speed of snail.

Of course, the changes were made and everything went smoothly from then on out.

Now, here we are again with the University saying that everything should run smoothly Saturday, but lets take a look into what they are expecting to happen.

The University expects there to be a line when gates open two and a half hours to kickoff. They also expect you to wait in line anywhere from an hour to an hour and a half.

In 150 minutes, the University expects to move roughly 14,000 students through one gate with eight card readers. Let me do this math for you.

14,000 students, divided by eight card readers equals 1,750 students per reader.

Those 1,750 students divided by 2.5 hours equals approximately 700 students per hour are expected to pass through each reader.

Seven hundred students per hour boils down to 11.6666..... per minute, meaning one student every five seconds will enter the stadium from each reader.

Anyone who has been to an Alabama football game as a student knows this is not fathomable.

So, where is the SGA in helping getting the students more gates as to where they will be able to get to see the game at a school where football is king? They are in compliance with the University.

The SGA actually had a meeting tonight at six to discuss any questions you may have about the procedure.

Didn't know about it? Well they tweeted about it, so how could you not. It's not like they didn't put an ad in the Crimson White. Oh, wait, they DID NOT put an ad in the Crimson White.

This shouldn't surprise anyone considering this is the same organization who's president promised the campus to be fully wireless in 2007 or said we would have ticket stubs for students who want them when we went to paperless tickets in 2008.

All I can say is I struggle to get Internet consistently when trying to broadcast Alabama Soccer by the Rec Center and I have no documentation that I witnessed Alabama destroy Auburn last November. Thanks, R.B. and Cason, you did oh so well.

So, Steven Oliver, I ask of you, when this system fails on Saturday, please meet with the University and get the students a second gate. It can't be that hard to do with your power.

*****************************UPDATE*******************************

After posting this blog, and my subsequent rant on Rock and Jock last night, I have been informed nicely by two SGA members that the issue has been taken up with the University and that the Athletic Department will not listen to the SGA about potential problems this system may have on Saturday. The Athletic Department fully believes in this system and will not change it unless they view it as absolutely necessary. I would like to apologize to the SGA for my comments above and thank them for their attempt to resolve the manner with the University. Hopefully there can be a better system put in place by Arkansas.